We should have a handle on the Academy Awards race now, right? The new year is upon us, the Golden Globes have already happened, the critics groups have chimed in and Oscar voting begins on Wednesday and runs through Sunday evening,

The 2025 awards had all the glitz and glamour of the pre-scandal shows, but there’s new drama tied to the organization’s new Penske-led management.

Who will get an Oscar nomination on Jan. 17? “Wicked” and “The Brutalist” saw its fortunes shift, as did Demi Moore, Zoe Saldaña and Timothée Chalamet.