Rafael, Bryan Norcross and Gulf of Mexico

Bryan Norcross: Rafael will reach the Gulf of Mexico tomorrow as a hurricane, then the forecast gets fuzzy
Rafael is forecast to reach hurricane strength later today and intensify into a high-end Category 1 or possibly a Category 2 by the time it makes landfall in Cuba overnight.
Bryan Norcross: Conditions conducive for Rafael to continue to strengthen
Tropical Storm Warnings were issued for parts of the Florida Keys on Tuesday morning as Tropical Storm Rafael continues to get better organized and remains on track to become a hurricane later on Tuesday.
Bryan Norcross: Forecast consensus shows a tropical system tracking toward the Gulf next week
Long-range computer forecasts are in much better agreement that a disturbance, tropical depression, or perhaps Tropical Storm Patty could track into the Gulf of Mexico late next week.
Bryan Norcross: Strengthening Hurricane Rafael heads into Gulf tonight where atmosphere is more hostile
Hurricane Rafael will pass over Cuba today and reach the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight. There is some chance that it will simply dissipate over the Gulf due to the hostile atmospheric conditions.
Bryan Norcross: Tropical disturbance in the Caribbean likely to become Tropical Storm Rafael this week
It's currently part of a large low-pressure system but is expected to consolidate into an organized tropical depression and eventually Tropical Storm Rafael over the next few days.
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