Available data suggests the Democratic Party will win ten seats and gain control of the House of Representatives in the midterms.

We find that economic insecurity is a broader explanation for Labour’s vote losses than concerns about immigration. Becoming economically insecure leads voters to abandon Labour for Reform and the Lib Dems, as well as pushing voters to “undecided”. In contrast, becoming more opposed to immigration only leads Labour voters to Reform.

Brian Easton says the tensions between different approaches to the economy are surfacing as the election nears

Longtime GOP strategist Karl Rove issued a stark warning to the Republican Party ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.