Candidates can't be selected if they start off with less than a 1.5% chance of winning that state. States are displayed in the order of forecasted margin of victory. Select a scenario to see how it ...

Harris has been a vocal advocate for abortion rights even before she began her campaign. In March, she became the first vice ...

The 538 crew discusses how the issue of reproductive rights played a bigger role in the Harris-Trump debate compared to the previous debate with Trump and Biden. ABC News politics reporter Brittany ...

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, ...

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, ...

Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In ...

Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this ...

Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages.