SportsLine's model has simulated New York Yankees vs. New York Mets 10,000 times and released its MLB picks for Saturday's Subway Series matchup

The Yankees built an early 5-0 lead, helped by a two-run homer by Aaron Judge (No. 33) and a homer and two RBIs by Austin Wells. Then they turned back the Mets’ comeback bids with a series of big pitches and big plays.

The Yankees are playing sloppy baseball, and the Mets already have slugged their way to a Subway Series victory before Sunday’s finale. The Mets thoroughly outplayed the Yankees again in a 12-6 dusting in front of 41,401 on a beautiful Saturday afternoon in which the sun appropriately shined longer on the Mets’ dugout.